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2024 polls: EIU forecast provides scant information – Ahiagbah

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The Economist Group's research and analysis section stated in its 2024 estimate for Africa:

Richard Ahiagbah, Director of Communications for the New Patriotic Party (NPP), stated that the Economist Intelligence Unit (EIU) survey, which predicted a win for the main opposition National Democratic Congress (NDC) in the 2024 general elections, gave very little information.

According to Mr. Ahiagbah, a lot will happen between now and the next elections that this study would not have considered.

According to the EIU, the estimate is mostly driven by falling living conditions, restricted job possibilities, and inadequate public services.

“Ghana is likely to experience a transfer of power from the ruling New Patriotic Party to the opposition National Democratic Congress, largely driven by declining living standards, limited job opportunities and poor public services,” the EIU explained.

The Economist Group’s research and analysis section stated in its 2024 estimate for Africa.

“In South Africa, we expect the African National Congress (ANC), led by Cyril Ramaphosa, the country’s president, to win the legislative election in 2024 by a narrow margin, but there is a strong possibility that the party will fall short of the 50% mark needed for a majority.

“Under such circumstances, the ANC will try to co-opt some smaller parties, rather than the main opposition groups, to stay in power. The probability of a coalition will continue to rise as enduring socioeconomic challenges erode the ANC’s support.

“An ongoing authoritarian crackdown in Tunisia will see the incumbent win a carefully managed presidential election in 2024, prompting further civil unrest.”

According to the EIU, Africa will be the world’s second-fastest-growing major area in 2024, after Asia, which will be headed by China and India.

According to the report, practically all African countries would see positive development, with only war-torn Sudan and impoverished Equatorial Guinea forecast to decrease in 2024. Indeed, Africa will have 12 of the world’s 20 fastest-growing economies in 2024, with African real GDP expected to rise by 3.2% in 2024, up from 2.6% in 2023.

East Africa, which includes Ethiopia, Kenya, Uganda, Rwanda, Tanzania, and the Democratic Republic of the Congo, will once again be the most active region of the continent in terms of economic growth. The services sector, which includes resurgent travel, tourism, and hospitality, robust transport and logistics, and dynamic banking and telecommunications industries, will continue to play a significant role in boosting East African economies.

Given the fierce competition and high pricing for Africa’s supply of hydrocarbons, mining sector output, and agricultural goods, resource-intensive countries and large commodity exporters will continue to thrive. Significant investment will continue to pour into African energy enterprises, as well as minerals and metals critical to the global energy revolution and digital transformation.

But commenting on this on News 360 on TV3 Friday, November 17, Mr Ahiagbah said “In the context of the 2024 elections, the present poll offers very little insight because there is a lot between now and 2024 that will happen that this would not take account of.

“I am not sure {about} the period that they collected this data but one point I can make is that in the current environment where there appear to be economic difficulties which is across the world, not only here, it is very likely that people will be unhappy with the government.”

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Hopeson Adorye granted GH¢20,000 bail

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Yaw Buaben Asamoa, a senior player in the Movement for Change, believes Adorye's detention was politically motivated.

The Dansoman court granted Hopeson Adorye, a senior activist in the Movement for Change, bail of GH¢20,000 with two sureties.

The ruling came after Adorye’s detention and subsequent court appearance on May 23, 2024.

Adorye was detained after making statements on an Accra-based radio station that has now gone viral, claiming that dynamite exploded in the Volta Region during the 2016 General Election.

Yaw Buaben Asamoa, a senior player in the Movement for Change, believes Adorye’s detention was politically motivated.

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Handcuffed Hopeson Adorye clashes with police

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The police apprehended him on Wednesday after he claimed to have ignited explosives in the Volta Region during the 2016 general elections. Mr. Adorye made the remark during a radio broadcast in Accra, and it has since gone viral. In an interview with Joy FM, Yaw Buaben Asamoa, a former Member of Parliament for Adenta and current member of the Movement for Change, stated that the arrest is politically motivated.

Hopeson Adorye, a key member of the Movement for Change who has been detained, had a verbal altercation with a police officer as he was being led out of the police headquarters on Wednesday, May 22.

He attempted to talk with his lawyer, Ken Kuranchie while being put into a police car, but the officer interrupted and instructed him to proceed rapidly inside the car.

It was at this moment that he yelled to the police officer, “I’m talking to my lawyer, please, and you’re obstructing me. What is the significance of that? Are you the sole police officer?

The police apprehended him on Wednesday after he claimed to have ignited explosives in the Volta Region during the 2016 general elections.

Mr Adorye remarked during a radio broadcast in Accra, and it has since gone viral.

In an interview with Joy FM, Yaw Buaben Asamoa, a former Member of Parliament for Adenta and current member of the Movement for Change, stated that the arrest is politically motivated.

He stated, “Hopeson Adorye is not about to flee Ghana or his house since the police aim to prosecute him with the dissemination of fake information.

“So, to go to the extent of keeping him all day in the police station and bringing him over to the Ministries to detain him, you point fingers backward at yourself that there is something political at play and it’s not fair,” he said.

“This is obviously politically motivated, there is no doubt about that,” he said.

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Buaben Asamoa claims Hopeson Adorye’s detention politically motivated

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He further alleged that he followed Mr. Adorye to the police headquarters, where he was requested to submit a statement and spent the entire day. However, about 6 p.m., they were informed that Mr. Adorye would be held until additional instructions from upstairs. Mr. Buaben Asamoa believes Adorye's detention is politically motivated, claiming that the police are awaiting orders from higher, hinting that the arrest is not simply a police decision. He also feels Adorye's detention is an attempt to intimidate the Movement for Change and quiet Adorye, who has been public about his views.

Yaw Buaben Asamoa, a member of the Movement for Change and former Member of Parliament for the Adentan seat, has suggested that Hopeson Adorye’s detention is politically motivated.

Police detained Hopeson Adorye, a major member of the Movement for Change, after he claimed to have exploded dynamites in the Volta Region during the 2016 General Elections.

Mr Adorye remarked during a radio broadcast in Accra, and it has since gone viral.

In an interview with Citi News, Mr. Buaben Asamoa said that Mr. Adorye was summoned to the police headquarters on Wednesday and thereafter held.

He further alleged that he followed Mr Adorye to the police headquarters, where he was requested to submit a statement and spent the entire day.

However, at about 6 p.m., they were informed that Mr. Adorye would be held until additional instructions from upstairs.

Mr Buaben Asamoa believes Adorye’s detention is politically motivated, claiming that the police are awaiting orders from higher, hinting that the arrest is not simply a police decision.

He also feels Adorye’s detention is an attempt to intimidate the Movement for Change and quiet Adorye, who has been public about his views.

“Because Hopson has been up and running, and some folks are feeling a bit tense and Jiffy about some of the things he has said. And this is the method of muscling him, attempting to scare the movement for change; it will not succeed. “I am convinced that it is politically motivated.”

Mr. Adorye is now in detention and scheduled to appear in court on Thursday. He has not yet been charged with a crime, but authorities are looking into the dissemination of incorrect information.

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